The purpose of Activity 2.4 is to examine how the global nitrogen cycle may alter in the future and what the consequences of this future change would be. For this purpose, broad storylines will be considered to frame possible futures, as well as specific scenarios of ‘what if’ considered. The starting point will be a review of existing nitrogen policies for different regions and countries, examining what policies they have in place and how these link to the nitrogen cycle, the extent to which synergies across the nitrogen cycle are addressed, and the extent of gaps.
The Department of Environmental Studies at New York University hosted the meeting on the 16th - 18th of January in relation to INMS Activity 2.4:"Exploration of future N storylines & scenarios with management/mitigation options & cost-benefit analysis". This will feed into Component 2: "Quantification of N flows, threats and benefits".
The workshop addressed:
- Scale and temporal scope of scenarios and integration with existing scenarios
- Key indicators
- Mitigation & policy options
- Inclusion of transformative developments
- Inclusion of cost-benefit analysis
- Stakeholder engagement
- Preliminary scenario outlines
The outputs of this workshop will included a draft scenario protocol for modelers and statements that will feed into the GLOC/IGR meeting in Indonesia that is expected to take place in October 2018.
The provisional agenda for this meeting can be found here.